All values come directly from U.S. Treasury via FRED (DGS2). We do not modify, smooth, or interpolate published values.
Short-term government bond yield, reflecting near-term Fed policy expectations. Inversion vs the 10-year yield (when 2yr > 10yr) has preceded every US recession since 1955.
Daily — we refresh every hour during US market hours; upstream publishes on business days.
We gate dateModified updates to actual value changes (threshold: 0.01% absolute or 0.5% relative) to prevent freshness spoofing. If the upstream value hasn't moved, we don't claim we updated the page.
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CalcFi. (2026). 2-Year Treasury Yield. Retrieved from https://calcfi.app/data/interest-rates/2-year-treasury/revisions. Source: U.S. Treasury via FRED (DGS2).
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